Highmark Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNE wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
BUF wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNE 45%Tie 3%52% BUF
NE most likely
17
BUF most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NE+0.182
BUF+0.215
Defensive Strength
NE+0.032
BUF-0.029