Soldier Field · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNYJ wins 2,000
of 10,000 simulations
CHI wins 7,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNYJ 24%Tie 2%74% CHI
NYJ most likely
10
CHI most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NYJ-0.255
CHI+0.112
Defensive Strength
NYJ-0.157
CHI-0.044