GamePlan Science
vs
Week 4
2026-10-01
Huntington Bank Field · Thursday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
PIT wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
CLE wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28PITCLE

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
PIT 49%Tie 4%48% CLE
PIT most likely
17
CLE most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

PIT+0.017
CLE-0.342
league avg -0.69-0.48-0.27-0.060.150.36 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

PIT-0.008
CLE+0.154
league avg -0.30-0.15-0.000.150.300.45 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)