M&T Bank Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerTEN wins 2,700
of 10,000 simulations
BAL wins 7,000
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsTEN 28%Tie 3%69% BAL
TEN most likely
10
BAL most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
TEN-0.229
BAL+0.062
Defensive Strength
TEN-0.091
BAL-0.029