Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerBAL wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
ATL wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsBAL 52%Tie 3%46% ATL
BAL most likely
17
ATL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
BAL+0.062
ATL-0.083
Defensive Strength
BAL-0.029
ATL-0.004