GamePlan Science
vs
Week 5
2026-10-12
SoFi Stadium · Monday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
BUF wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
LA wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35BUFLA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
BUF 41%Tie 2%57% LA
BUF most likely
20
LA most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

BUF+0.215
LA+0.253
league avg -0.130.020.160.310.450.59 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

BUF-0.029
LA+0.059
league avg -0.33-0.19-0.060.080.220.36 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)