GamePlan Science
vs
Week 5
2026-10-11
Lambeau Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CHI wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
GB wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CHIGB

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CHI 40%Tie 3%57% GB
CHI most likely
17
GB most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CHI+0.112
GB+0.123
league avg -0.22-0.080.060.190.330.46 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CHI-0.044
GB-0.044
league avg -0.35-0.23-0.100.020.140.26 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)