GamePlan Science
vs
Week 5
2026-10-11
Hard Rock Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CIN wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
MIA wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CINMIA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CIN 46%Tie 3%51% MIA
CIN most likely
17
MIA most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CIN+0.032
MIA-0.082
league avg -0.42-0.26-0.100.050.210.37 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CIN-0.128
MIA-0.063
league avg -0.43-0.30-0.16-0.030.100.23 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)