State Farm Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerDET wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
ARI wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsDET 57%Tie 3%40% ARI
DET most likely
17
ARI most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
DET+0.124
ARI-0.066
Defensive Strength
DET+0.002
ARI-0.104