Nissan Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerHOU wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
TEN wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsHOU 62%Tie 3%35% TEN
HOU most likely
17
TEN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
HOU-0.040
TEN-0.229
Defensive Strength
HOU+0.173
TEN-0.091