Acrisure Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerIND wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
PIT wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsIND 49%Tie 3%48% PIT
IND most likely
17
PIT most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
IND+0.241
PIT+0.017
Defensive Strength
IND-0.040
PIT-0.008