Gillette Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerLV wins 1,900
of 10,000 simulations
NE wins 7,900
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsLV 25%Tie 2%73% NE
LV most likely
10
NE most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
LV-0.295
NE+0.182
Defensive Strength
LV-0.019
NE+0.032