Caesars Superdome · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerMIN wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
NO wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsMIN 54%Tie 4%43% NO
MIN most likely
17
NO most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
MIN-0.125
NO-0.174
Defensive Strength
MIN+0.171
NO+0.056