GamePlan Science
vs
Week 5
2026-10-11
Northwest Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
NYG wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
WAS wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28NYGWAS

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
NYG 50%Tie 3%47% WAS
NYG most likely
17
WAS most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

NYG+0.032
WAS-0.013
league avg -0.35-0.21-0.060.090.230.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

NYG-0.058
WAS-0.157
league avg -0.45-0.31-0.18-0.040.100.23 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)