GamePlan Science
vs
Week 6
2026-10-18
SoFi Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
ARI wins 2,000
of 10,000 simulations
LA wins 7,800
of 10,000 simulations
2 ties-42-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35+42ARILA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
ARI 26%Tie 2%72% LA
ARI most likely
17
LA most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

ARI-0.066
LA+0.253
league avg -0.41-0.21-0.010.190.390.59 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

ARI-0.104
LA+0.059
league avg -0.40-0.25-0.090.060.210.36 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)