GamePlan Science
vs
Week 6
2026-10-18
Huntington Bank Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
BAL wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
CLE wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28BALCLE

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
BAL 50%Tie 3%46% CLE
BAL most likely
17
CLE most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

BAL+0.062
CLE-0.342
league avg -0.69-0.47-0.26-0.040.180.40 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

BAL-0.029
CLE+0.154
league avg -0.32-0.17-0.020.140.290.45 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)