Allegiant Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerBUF wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
LV wins 2,900
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsBUF 64%Tie 3%33% LV
BUF most likely
17
LV most likely
10
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
BUF+0.215
LV-0.295
Defensive Strength
BUF-0.029
LV-0.019