GamePlan Science
vs
Week 6
2026-10-18
Lincoln Financial Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CAR wins 2,500
of 10,000 simulations
PHI wins 7,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35CARPHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CAR 32%Tie 3%65% PHI
CAR most likely
10
PHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CAR-0.112
PHI-0.038
league avg -0.47-0.31-0.16-0.010.140.30 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CAR-0.084
PHI+0.143
league avg -0.38-0.22-0.050.110.280.44 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)