Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerCHI wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
ATL wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsCHI 53%Tie 3%44% ATL
CHI most likely
24
ATL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
CHI+0.112
ATL-0.083
Defensive Strength
CHI-0.044
ATL-0.004