GamePlan Science
vs
Week 6
2026-10-18
Lambeau Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
DAL wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
GB wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35DALGB

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
DAL 36%Tie 3%61% GB
DAL most likely
17
GB most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

DAL+0.196
GB+0.123
league avg -0.22-0.070.090.240.390.54 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

DAL-0.211
GB-0.044
league avg -0.51-0.35-0.20-0.050.110.26 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)