Wembley Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerHOU wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
JAX wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsHOU 42%Tie 3%55% JAX
HOU most likely
17
JAX most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
HOU-0.040
JAX+0.076
Defensive Strength
HOU+0.173
JAX+0.063