GamePlan Science
vs
Week 6
2026-10-18
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LAC wins 4,100
of 10,000 simulations
KC wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28LACKC

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LAC 43%Tie 4%53% KC
LAC most likely
17
KC most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LAC+0.010
KC+0.025
league avg -0.33-0.19-0.050.090.230.37 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LAC+0.084
KC+0.027
league avg -0.28-0.15-0.010.120.250.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)