Gillette Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNYJ wins 1,600
of 10,000 simulations
NE wins 8,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNYJ 21%Tie 2%77% NE
NYJ most likely
10
NE most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NYJ-0.255
NE+0.182
Defensive Strength
NYJ-0.157
NE+0.032