Raymond James Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerPIT wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
TB wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsPIT 46%Tie 3%50% TB
PIT most likely
17
TB most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
PIT+0.017
TB-0.047
Defensive Strength
PIT-0.008
TB-0.021