GamePlan Science
vs
Week 6
2026-10-15
Empower Field at Mile High · Thursday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
SEA wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
DEN wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28SEADEN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
SEA 52%Tie 3%45% DEN
SEA most likely
17
DEN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

SEA+0.087
DEN-0.017
league avg -0.35-0.20-0.050.100.260.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

SEA+0.231
DEN+0.126
league avg -0.16-0.020.120.260.400.53 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)