Lucas Oil Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerTEN wins 2,100
of 10,000 simulations
IND wins 7,700
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsTEN 24%Tie 2%73% IND
TEN most likely
10
IND most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
TEN-0.229
IND+0.241
Defensive Strength
TEN-0.091
IND-0.040