GamePlan Science
vs
Week 6
2026-10-19
Levi's Stadium · Monday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
WAS wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
SF wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
2 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35WASSF

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
WAS 33%Tie 3%64% SF
WAS most likely
17
SF most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

WAS-0.013
SF+0.144
league avg -0.35-0.19-0.020.150.310.48 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

WAS-0.157
SF-0.040
league avg -0.45-0.31-0.17-0.030.110.25 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)