M&T Bank Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerCIN wins 3,300
of 10,000 simulations
BAL wins 6,400
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsCIN 36%Tie 3%61% BAL
CIN most likely
17
BAL most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
CIN+0.032
BAL+0.062
Defensive Strength
CIN-0.128
BAL-0.029