GamePlan Science
vs
Week 7
2026-10-25
Lumen Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
KC wins 2,900
of 10,000 simulations
SEA wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35KCSEA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
KC 31%Tie 3%66% SEA
KC most likely
10
SEA most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

KC+0.025
SEA+0.087
league avg -0.32-0.17-0.030.120.260.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

KC+0.027
SEA+0.231
league avg -0.28-0.110.050.210.370.53 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)