MetLife Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerMIA wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
NYJ wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsMIA 54%Tie 3%42% NYJ
MIA most likely
17
NYJ most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
MIA-0.082
NYJ-0.255
Defensive Strength
MIA-0.063
NYJ-0.157