GamePlan Science
vs
Week 7
2026-10-22
Soldier Field · Thursday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
NE wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
CHI wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28NECHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
NE 47%Tie 3%50% CHI
NE most likely
17
CHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

NE+0.182
CHI+0.112
league avg -0.21-0.060.080.230.380.52 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

NE+0.032
CHI-0.044
league avg -0.33-0.20-0.070.060.200.33 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)