GamePlan Science
vs
Week 7
2026-10-25
Reliant Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
NYG wins 3,300
of 10,000 simulations
HOU wins 6,400
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35NYGHOU

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
NYG 38%Tie 3%59% HOU
NYG most likely
17
HOU most likely
20

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

NYG+0.032
HOU-0.040
league avg -0.36-0.21-0.070.080.230.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

NYG-0.058
HOU+0.173
league avg -0.35-0.18-0.020.140.310.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)