Stade de France · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerPIT wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
NO wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsPIT 51%Tie 3%45% NO
PIT most likely
17
NO most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
PIT+0.017
NO-0.174
Defensive Strength
PIT-0.008
NO+0.056