GamePlan Science
vs
Week 7
2026-10-25
Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
SF wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
ATL wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28SFATL

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
SF 55%Tie 3%42% ATL
SF most likely
17
ATL most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

SF+0.144
ATL-0.083
league avg -0.42-0.24-0.060.120.300.48 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

SF-0.040
ATL-0.004
league avg -0.33-0.21-0.080.040.160.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)