GamePlan Science
vs
Week 7
2026-10-25
Bank of America Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
TB wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
CAR wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28TBCAR

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
TB 47%Tie 3%49% CAR
TB most likely
17
CAR most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

TB-0.047
CAR-0.112
league avg -0.47-0.31-0.16-0.010.140.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

TB-0.021
CAR-0.084
league avg -0.38-0.25-0.120.010.130.26 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)