GamePlan Science
vs
Week 8
2026-11-01
AT&T Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
ARI wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
DAL wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35ARIDAL

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
ARI 41%Tie 2%57% DAL
ARI most likely
17
DAL most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

ARI-0.066
DAL+0.196
league avg -0.41-0.22-0.030.160.350.54 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

ARI-0.104
DAL-0.211
league avg -0.51-0.37-0.23-0.090.050.19 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)