Highmark Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerBAL wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
BUF wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsBAL 37%Tie 3%60% BUF
BAL most likely
17
BUF most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
BAL+0.062
BUF+0.215
Defensive Strength
BAL-0.029
BUF-0.029