GamePlan Science
vs
Week 8
2026-11-02
Lumen Field · Monday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CHI wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
SEA wins 6,700
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35CHISEA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CHI 32%Tie 3%66% SEA
CHI most likely
17
SEA most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CHI+0.112
SEA+0.087
league avg -0.24-0.100.030.160.300.43 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CHI-0.044
SEA+0.231
league avg -0.33-0.160.010.190.360.53 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)