EverBank Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerIND wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
JAX wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsIND 44%Tie 3%53% JAX
IND most likely
17
JAX most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
IND+0.241
JAX+0.076
Defensive Strength
IND-0.040
JAX+0.063