Empower Field at Mile High · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerKC wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
DEN wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsKC 41%Tie 3%56% DEN
KC most likely
17
DEN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
KC+0.025
DEN-0.017
Defensive Strength
KC+0.027
DEN+0.126

