GamePlan Science
vs
Week 8
2026-11-01
Empower Field at Mile High · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
KC wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
DEN wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35KCDEN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
KC 41%Tie 3%56% DEN
KC most likely
17
DEN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

KC+0.025
DEN-0.017
league avg -0.35-0.21-0.060.080.220.37 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

KC+0.027
DEN+0.126
league avg -0.28-0.14-0.000.130.270.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)