GamePlan Science
vs
Week 8
2026-11-01
SoFi Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LAC wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
LA wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35LACLA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LAC 37%Tie 3%60% LA
LAC most likely
17
LA most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LAC+0.010
LA+0.253
league avg -0.33-0.140.040.230.410.59 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LAC+0.084
LA+0.059
league avg -0.24-0.120.010.130.260.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)