MetLife Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerLV wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
NYJ wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsLV 48%Tie 3%49% NYJ
LV most likely
17
NYJ most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
LV-0.295
NYJ-0.255
Defensive Strength
LV-0.019
NYJ-0.157