Ford Field · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerMIN wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
DET wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsMIN 42%Tie 3%55% DET
MIN most likely
17
DET most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
MIN-0.125
DET+0.124
Defensive Strength
MIN+0.171
DET+0.002