Hard Rock Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNE wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
MIA wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNE 58%Tie 3%39% MIA
NE most likely
17
MIA most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NE+0.182
MIA-0.082
Defensive Strength
NE+0.032
MIA-0.063