Paycor Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerTEN wins 3,300
of 10,000 simulations
CIN wins 6,400
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsTEN 37%Tie 3%60% CIN
TEN most likely
17
CIN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
TEN-0.229
CIN+0.032
Defensive Strength
TEN-0.091
CIN-0.128