Lumen Field · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerARI wins 2,100
of 10,000 simulations
SEA wins 7,600
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsARI 24%Tie 3%73% SEA
ARI most likely
10
SEA most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
ARI-0.066
SEA+0.087
Defensive Strength
ARI-0.104
SEA+0.231