GamePlan Science
vs
Week 9
2026-11-09
U.S. Bank Stadium · Monday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
BUF wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
MIN wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28BUFMIN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
BUF 49%Tie 3%48% MIN
BUF most likely
17
MIN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

BUF+0.215
MIN-0.125
league avg -0.47-0.26-0.060.150.350.55 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

BUF-0.029
MIN+0.171
league avg -0.33-0.17-0.010.150.310.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)