Bernabeu · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerCIN wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
ATL wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsCIN 46%Tie 3%51% ATL
CIN most likely
17
ATL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
CIN+0.032
ATL-0.083
Defensive Strength
CIN-0.128
ATL-0.004