GamePlan Science
vs
Week 9
2026-11-08
Caesars Superdome · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CLE wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
NO wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CLENO

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CLE 44%Tie 4%53% NO
CLE most likely
17
NO most likely
10

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CLE-0.342
NO-0.174
league avg -0.69-0.52-0.34-0.170.010.18 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CLE+0.154
NO+0.056
league avg -0.23-0.090.040.180.310.45 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)