Lucas Oil Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerDAL wins 3,100
of 10,000 simulations
IND wins 6,600
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsDAL 34%Tie 2%63% IND
DAL most likely
17
IND most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
DAL+0.196
IND+0.241
Defensive Strength
DAL-0.211
IND-0.040